To
a 10 year anniversary of the "500 Days" Programme
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A Modern Assessment
of the “500-Days Programme”
A.G.Sushkevich,
expert of the Apparat of the Yabloko faction
August 10, 2000
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The “500-Days Programme” can be
assessed according to the following criteria:
1. The programme represents an intellectual
reaction to the socio-economic problems of the 1980s-1990s.
From this point of view the programme represents
the following:
-
a complete break
with existing views, academic concepts, the mass
media and journal publications with respect to
interpretation of society’s economic problems;
-
the first attempt
to circulate intellectually a completely new terminology
and set of concepts, which subsequently assumed
an independent life in the public conscience;
-
the first attempt
to achieve radical change in ethical assessments
of social and economic phenomena (“unemployment”
not as an absolute evil, but as a normal economic
phenomenon within certain boundaries; “price growth”
as a possible instrument of economic policy, rather
than a manifestation of uncontrolled economic
chaos; “a reduction in capital investments and
fixed assets” as a useful process, rather than
a symptom of economic collapse,
-
etc);
-
in general, this
was stated publicly for the first time, including
a very detailed academic forecast for society;
society’s anticipated experiences were stated
explicitly in a very brief form; in terms of genre,
this work represents a forecast rather than a
programme of actions; the first academic forecast,
which consistent a single and consistent organisational
idea, even though naive chronologically.
2. In terms of integrity, i.e. the
ability to provide a picture of the society’s dynamics
and offer a solution, not only to the problems inherited
by society at the beginning of the 1990, but also
those emerging due to implementation of the programme’s
reformist measures, the programme represents the
following:
-
a completely clear
and conscientious attempt to describe in words
the problems engendered by the reforms; therefore
this programme represents a significant transfer
from the declaration of the “final solution to
the problem” to a positive
(academic) resolution of socio-economic problems,
which deliberately admits
discussions, the differing interests of different
social groups, assuming that a successful act
of reforms in society represents a direction of
public development rather than a list of measures;
-
the programme
predicted the main lines of dissolution in society,
correctly pinpointed the crux of possible conflicts
in the event of the implementation of radical
economic reforms; labour conflicts, differentiation
in society in terms of the level of welfare; the
regional and structural aspects in the programme
are supplied with buffer measures;
-
the document was
written by people with theoretical knowledge of
socio-economic developments, rather than practical
experience of reforming a national economy; many
“automatically built-in stabilisers “of the programme
are purely speculative. Either there was no practical
experience of their use in the economy or the
authors did not have access to such data. Consequently,
it overestimated the positive aspects (first of
all we are speaking here
about the faith of the authors in regulated prices,
the stabilizing influence of state rule, the possibility
of a “global price contract” throughout the country,
etc.);
3. Further practical implementation
of the programme. From this point of
view, the programme represents the
following:
-
it was completely
used in a single possible form: as a forecast,
it represented a starting point for the absolute
majority of further attempts at economic reforms
and was a real alternative to the reform efforts
of Gaidar’s government;
-
throughout 1991-1996
it was regarded not only as an intellectual challenge
to the actions of Gaidar’s and Chernomyrdin’s
governments, but also as a programme of actions
of a political force enjoying a stable backing
in Russian society; the programme is unrivalled
in this sense. No other documents were referred
to as part of “a programme” and similar topics
and the range of issues did not manage to “live”
in the public conscience of Russia
during the reform period for such a long time;
- it is still topical as an integral approach
to conducting reforms that does
not split up “social” and “technological” reforms
or “structural” reforms from “reform of the agro-production
complex”, etc.
-
was not and could
not have been consistently (literally) implemented,
as it only assumed that a civil society would
be created in Russia and required the benevolence
of the authorities for its practical implementation
and use of compulsory measures by the authorities,
which the authorities did not grant
to the reformers, as they were aware that it wouldn’t
retain the type of power it previously enjoyed
in a civil society;
-
- as it is targeted
at the authorities, the programme sets extremely
stringent demands on the intellectual level of
the former, their honesty and competence;
-
the programme
greatly underestimated the impact of the most
important factors, which moulded the social pattern
of Russia in all periods of its history: the extremely
low level of civil consciousness of Russians citizens,
colossal venality of the state bureaucracy, underdeveloped
traditions of business ethics, the vagueness and
confusion of the moral foundations of society.
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